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November 28.2025
3 Minutes Read

Will Middle-Class Donors Bridge the Philanthropy Gap After Trump's Tax Changes?

Impact of Trump's tax bill on philanthropy illustrated by a donation.

Trump’s Tax Bill and Its Impact on Philanthropy

As charitable giving in America faces a potential overhaul due to President Trump's new tax legislation, the focus is on whether middle-class donors can fill the financial gap left by dwindling contributions from wealthier Americans. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, passed in July, introduces changes to the tax code that could reshape the landscape of philanthropy. Experts predict a significant shift in the dynamics of charitable contributions, as the wealthiest individuals, who historically have been the primary source of donations, may contribute less in the coming years.

The New Rules: What to Expect

The new tax provisions are set to unwind the benefits that have motivated wealthy donors to contribute generously. Under the new rules, top earners will see their effective tax benefit for charitable donations reduced from 37% to 35%, diminishing their incentive to give. This reduction could lead to an estimated decrease in charitable contributions ranging from $4.1 billion to $6.1 billion annually, according to the Lilly Family School of Philanthropy. Furthermore, changing rules around itemizing deductions mean that only donations exceeding 0.5% of the donor's adjusted gross income will be deductible starting next year. This requirement may further limit the effectiveness of charitable giving for many higher-income donors.

Encouraging Middle-Class Donation

Interestingly, this tax bill also expands the deduction opportunities for lower- and middle-income earners, allowing roughly 140 million taxpayers to deduct up to $1,000 in cash donations come 2026, even if they don’t itemize their deductions. This move aims to broaden the base of charitable support, especially given that around 90% of taxpayers now opt for the standard deduction. While this could encourage a higher number of donations among the middle class, experts remain skeptical about whether these smaller contributions can make up for the significant potential shortfall from wealthy donors.

Understanding the K-Shaped Economy

The philanthropic landscape reflects the “K-shaped” economic recovery, where wealth distribution has exacerbated disparities among those who can give. While total charitable contributions last year reached approximately $392.45 billion—up 52% since 2014—the percentage of Americans making donations has declined. From 66.2% in 2000 to just 45.8% in 2020, the reliance on larger donations from the rich is clearer than ever. This raises questions about the sustainability of American philanthropy moving forward if the wealthiest donors continue to withdraw.

A Looking Glass to the Future of Charitable Giving

Philanthropy's future may hinge on how effectively organizations adapt to these changing donation dynamics. Schools, hospitals, and various charities should brace themselves for this pivotal transition. As fewer wealthy individuals contribute, the responsibility shifts towards increasing the number of smaller donors. Academic research indicates that every dollar counts, and while it may take longer, meaningful contributions from various households could provide essential support. Organizations may need to innovate how they connect with potential smaller donors, using compelling storytelling and community engagement tactics.

Concluding Thoughts on Generosity

The changes brought by Trump’s tax bill urge a reconsideration of how philanthropic support is fostered in America. The fundamental question remains: can middle-class donors step up to replace the diminished giving from wealthy individuals? Only time will reveal the full implications of these tax shifts. For now, nonprofits must capitalize on this moment to inspire a more inclusive approach to giving that could bolster their resources and community impact in these challenging times.

Modern Economy

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